Will Călin Georgescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Arbitrage Profit
0.60%
Match Score
0.8552
Similarity
0.8545
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Călin Georgescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$0.970
Polymarket Event
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
End Date: Jul 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.024
NO Price:
$0.989
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0240, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8545
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9825
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3562
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
cg
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-candidates-will-advance-in-romanian-presidential-election-1st-round
Polymarket Event ID:
514999