Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8645
Similarity
0.8632
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
End Date: Jul 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.008
NO Price:
$0.995
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8632
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9965
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3562
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
mc
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-candidates-will-advance-in-romanian-presidential-election-1st-round
Polymarket Event ID:
515000