Will Călin Georgescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
1.32%
Match Score
0.8774
Similarity
0.8852
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Călin Georgescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$0.970
Polymarket Event
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Jul 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.017
NO Price:
$0.990
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0170, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8852
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9785
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3562
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
cg
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-1st-round-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
515352