Will Mircea Geoana win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8937
Similarity
0.9037
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Mircea Geoana win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Jul 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.001
NO Price:
N/A
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9037
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9905
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3562
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
mg
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-1st-round-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
515354