Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8918
Similarity
0.901
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Jul 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.002
NO Price:
$0.999
Arbitrage Strategy
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.901
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9915
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3562
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
nan
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
mc
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-1st-round-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
515356