Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
3.09%
Match Score
0.8817
Similarity
0.9196

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.290
NO Price: $0.720
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.250
NO Price: $0.760
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.2500, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7200

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9196
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID: gs
Polymarket Event Slug: romania-presidential-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID: 519066