Will VIctor Ponta win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8912
Similarity
0.9242
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will VIctor Ponta win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.080
NO Price:
$0.940
Polymarket Event
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.062
NO Price:
$0.942
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9242
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.99
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
vp
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
519067