Will Nicusor Dan win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8886
Similarity
0.9288
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Nicusor Dan win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.310
NO Price:
$0.730
Polymarket Event
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.260
NO Price:
$0.760
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.2600, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7300
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9288
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
nd
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
519068