Will Crin Antonescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
4.17%
Match Score
0.8678
Similarity
0.9037

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Crin Antonescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.320
NO Price: $0.690
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.370
NO Price: $0.640
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.3200, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.6400

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9037
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.95
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID: ca
Polymarket Event Slug: romania-presidential-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID: 519070