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Will Crin Antonescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
4.17%
Match Score
0.8678
Similarity
0.9037
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Crin Antonescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.320
NO Price:
$0.690
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.370
NO Price:
$0.640
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.3200, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.6400
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.320
Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.640
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9037
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.95
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
ca
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
519070