Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8961
Similarity
0.9303
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.002
NO Price:
$0.999
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9303
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9915
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
mc
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
519071