Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will George Simion win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
Arbitrage Profit
17.65%
Match Score
0.8503
Similarity
0.8712
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.290
NO Price:
$0.720
Polymarket Event
Will George Simion win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
End Date: May 04, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.130
NO Price:
$0.890
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1300, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7200
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8712
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.835
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
gs
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place
Polymarket Event ID:
539275