Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Elena Lasconi win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8781
Similarity
0.8671
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will Elena Lasconi win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
End Date: May 04, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.014
NO Price:
$0.995
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8671
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9895
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
el
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place
Polymarket Event ID:
539277