Will Călin Georgescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Will Călin Georgescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.8799
Similarity
0.874
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Călin Georgescu win the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Dec 08, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$0.970
Polymarket Event
Will Călin Georgescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
End Date: May 04, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$0.994
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.874
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.973
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresromania24
Kalshi Milestone ID:
cg
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place
Polymarket Event ID:
539278