Will Trump visit Israel in the first year?
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8968
Similarity
0.8626
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump visit Israel in the first year?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.740
NO Price:
$0.310
Polymarket Event
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.770
NO Price:
$0.340
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8626
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
1.0
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresvisit
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
518863