Will Trump visit Saudi Arabia in the first year?

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.42%
Match Score
0.8997
Similarity
0.8734

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Trump visit Saudi Arabia in the first year?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.960
NO Price: $0.060
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.978
NO Price: $0.026
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.9600, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.0260

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8734
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.974
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxpresvisit
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 518866