Will Trump visit Taiwan in the first year?
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
3.09%
Match Score
0.9053
Similarity
0.8846
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump visit Taiwan in the first year?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.120
NO Price:
$0.890
Polymarket Event
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.080
NO Price:
$0.930
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0800, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8900
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8846
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresvisit
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
518891