Will Trump visit China in the first year?
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8838
Similarity
0.8559
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump visit China in the first year?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.250
NO Price:
$0.790
Polymarket Event
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.200
NO Price:
$0.820
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.2000, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7900
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8559
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresvisit
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
519732