Will Trump visit Russia in the first year?
Will Trump visit Russia before July?
Arbitrage Profit
13.64%
Match Score
0.8827
Similarity
0.9214
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump visit Russia in the first year?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.300
NO Price:
$0.760
Polymarket Event
Will Trump visit Russia before July?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.120
NO Price:
$0.910
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1200, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7600
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9214
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.835
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.4932
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresvisit
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
will-trump-visit-russia-before-july
Polymarket Event ID:
524291