Will Trump visit Italy in the first year?
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.9017
Similarity
0.8737
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump visit Italy in the first year?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.980
NO Price:
$0.030
Polymarket Event
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.994
NO Price:
$0.010
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.9800, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.0100
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8737
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.983
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpresvisit
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
525137