Will the Fed cut rates 1 times? – 1:: 25 bps
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8862
Similarity
0.8574
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Fed cut rates 1 times? – 1:: 25 bps
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.860
Polymarket Event
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
End Date: Dec 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.130
NO Price:
$0.880
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1300, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8600
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8574
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.98
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9425
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxratecutcount
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25dec31
Polymarket Event Slug:
how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
516724