Will the Fed cut rates 8 times? – 8:: 200 bps
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
5.93%
Match Score
0.8717
Similarity
0.851
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Fed cut rates 8 times? – 8:: 200 bps
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
End Date: Dec 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.091
NO Price:
$0.914
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0300, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9140
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.851
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9315
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9425
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxratecutcount
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25dec31
Polymarket Event Slug:
how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
516729