Will George Simion be 1st in the next Romanian presidential election first round?
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8906
Similarity
0.9235
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will George Simion be 1st in the next Romanian presidential election first round?
End Date: Jan 01, 2030 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.800
NO Price:
$0.330
Polymarket Event
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Jul 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.730
NO Price:
$0.280
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9235
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.99
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxromaniatop
Kalshi Milestone ID:
30
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-1st-round-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
515351