Will Călin Georgescu be 1st in the next Romanian presidential election first round?
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8806
Similarity
0.9225
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Călin Georgescu be 1st in the next Romanian presidential election first round?
End Date: Jan 01, 2030 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.070
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
End Date: Jul 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.017
NO Price:
$0.990
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9225
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9435
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxromaniatop
Kalshi Milestone ID:
30
Polymarket Event Slug:
romania-presidential-election-1st-round-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
515352