Will the Cincinnati win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?

Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.8709
Similarity
0.8534

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the Cincinnati win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?
End Date: Feb 08, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.050
NO Price: $0.960
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?
End Date: Oct 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.020
NO Price: $0.985
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0200, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9600

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8534
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9725
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.726
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxsb
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: national-league-winner-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 525460