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Government shutdown in 2025?
US government shutdown in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.9815
Similarity
0.9833
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Government shutdown in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.370
NO Price:
$0.640
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
US government shutdown in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.340
NO Price:
$0.670
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.3400, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.6400
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.340
Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.640
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9833
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.97
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxshutdownby
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
us-government-shutdown-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
518036