How many launches will SpaceX have in 2025? – Above 200
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9167
Similarity
0.9276
Market Details
Kalshi Market
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2025? – Above 200
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.120
NO Price:
$0.900
Polymarket Event
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.100
NO Price:
$0.920
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9276
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.98
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxspacexcount
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
how-many-spacex-launches-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
516811