Will between 10 to 12 Starship launches reach space in 2025?

Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9522
Similarity
0.9458

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will between 10 to 12 Starship launches reach space in 2025?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.300
NO Price: $0.740
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.260
NO Price: $0.770
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9458
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.965
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxstarshipspace
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 517039