Will between 13 to 15 Starship launches reach space in 2025?

Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
2.99%
Match Score
0.9485
Similarity
0.9469

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will between 13 to 15 Starship launches reach space in 2025?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.100
NO Price: $0.950
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.021
NO Price: $0.986
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0210, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9500

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9469
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9425
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxstarshipspace
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 517040