Will between 16 to 18 Starship launches reach space in 2025?

Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9582
Similarity
0.9459

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will between 16 to 18 Starship launches reach space in 2025?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.050
NO Price: $0.990
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.039
NO Price: $0.968
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9459
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9945
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxstarshipspace
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 517041