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Will between 19 to 21 Starship launches reach space in 2025?
Will 19-21 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.52%
Match Score
0.9586
Similarity
0.9485
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will between 19 to 21 Starship launches reach space in 2025?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.020
NO Price:
$1.000
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
Will 19-21 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.038
NO Price:
$0.965
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0200, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9650
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.020
Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.965
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9485
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9865
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxstarshipspace
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
517042