Will between 19 to 21 Starship launches reach space in 2025?

Will 19-21 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.52%
Match Score
0.9586
Similarity
0.9485

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will between 19 to 21 Starship launches reach space in 2025?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.020
NO Price: $1.000
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will 19-21 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.038
NO Price: $0.965
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0200, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9650

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9485
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9865
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxstarshipspace
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 517042