Will above 25 or above Starship launches reach space in 2025?
Will 25 or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9261
Similarity
0.9355
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will above 25 or above Starship launches reach space in 2025?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$0.980
Polymarket Event
Will 25 or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.026
NO Price:
$0.980
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9355
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.998
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxstarshipspace
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
517044