When will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels? – Before Jul 2025

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.9171
Similarity
0.924

Market Details

Kalshi Market

When will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels? – Before Jul 2025
End Date: Mar 21, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.120
NO Price: $0.930
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?
End Date: Jul 15, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.050
NO Price: $0.960
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0500, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9300

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.924
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.95
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6822
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxsueztraffic
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: will-suez-canal-traffic-recover-to-pre-houthi-levels-before-july
Polymarket Event ID: 528328