Will Trump impose tariffs on the Denmark sector in the first 100 days?

Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?
Arbitrage Profit
28.87%
Match Score
0.9053
Similarity
0.9845

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Trump impose tariffs on the Denmark sector in the first 100 days?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.280
NO Price: $0.740
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?
End Date: Apr 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.036
NO Price: $0.988
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0360, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7400

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9845
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.754
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3233
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxtariffcountry
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26jan01
Polymarket Event Slug: which-countries-will-trump-tariff-in-first-100-days
Polymarket Event ID: 520684