Will Trump impose tariffs on the Colombia sector in the first 100 days?
Will Trump impose tariffs on Colombia in the first 100 days?
Arbitrage Profit
22.10%
Match Score
0.9118
Similarity
0.9848
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump impose tariffs on the Colombia sector in the first 100 days?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.270
NO Price:
$0.760
Polymarket Event
Will Trump impose tariffs on Colombia in the first 100 days?
End Date: Apr 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.059
NO Price:
$0.979
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0590, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7600
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9848
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.785
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3233
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxtariffcountry
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26jan01
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-countries-will-trump-tariff-in-first-100-days
Polymarket Event ID:
520686