What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025? – 50% to 74.99%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on April 30?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9408
Similarity
0.9222
Market Details
Kalshi Market
What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025? – 50% to 74.99%
End Date: Apr 30, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.070
NO Price:
$0.940
Polymarket Event
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on April 30?
End Date: Apr 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.076
NO Price:
$0.955
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9222
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9955
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxtariffrateprc
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr30
Polymarket Event Slug:
us-tariff-rate-on-china-on-april-30
Polymarket Event ID:
535699