What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025? – 150% to 199.99%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9373
Similarity
0.9187
Market Details
Kalshi Market
What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025? – 150% to 199.99%
End Date: Apr 30, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?
End Date: Apr 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.012
NO Price:
$0.989
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9187
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9915
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxtariffrateprc
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr30
Polymarket Event Slug:
us-tariff-rate-on-china-on-april-30
Polymarket Event ID:
535702