What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025? – 200% to 299.99%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9364
Similarity
0.9172
Market Details
Kalshi Market
What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025? – 200% to 299.99%
End Date: Apr 30, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.020
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?
End Date: Apr 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.014
NO Price:
$0.989
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9172
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9925
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxtariffrateprc
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr30
Polymarket Event Slug:
us-tariff-rate-on-china-on-april-30
Polymarket Event ID:
535703