Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.16 and 4.18 on Apr 25, 2025? – 4.16% to 4.18%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8507
Similarity
0.8573
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.16 and 4.18 on Apr 25, 2025? – 4.16% to 4.18%
End Date: Apr 25, 2025 at 07:25 PM
YES Price:
$1.000
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.590
NO Price:
$0.500
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8573
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3151
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxtnotew
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr25
Polymarket Event Slug:
how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
535640