Will Deepseek have a top-ranked AI model before 2026?

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.9023
Similarity
0.8847

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Deepseek have a top-ranked AI model before 2026?
End Date: Jan 02, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.290
NO Price: $0.750
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.340
NO Price: $0.690
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.2900, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.6900

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8847
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.945
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9945
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxtopai
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-this-year
Polymarket Event ID: 520427