Will 01A1 have a top-ranked AI model before 2026?

Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.8868
Similarity
0.8627

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will 01A1 have a top-ranked AI model before 2026?
End Date: Jan 02, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.070
NO Price: $0.970
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.110
NO Price: $0.910
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0700, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9100

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8627
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.95
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9945
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxtopai
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-this-year
Polymarket Event ID: 520435