Will Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain before 2026?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
5.26%
Match Score
0.8659
Similarity
0.8534

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain before 2026?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.250
NO Price: $0.780
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.410
NO Price: $0.700
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.2500, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.7000

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8534
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.88
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxtreasblockchain
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: us-treasury-transactions-on-blockchain-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 521942