Will the Athletic Bilbao win the Europa League Championship?

Will Athletic Bilbao finish second in La Liga?
Arbitrage Profit
39.86%
Match Score
0.8512
Similarity
0.8828

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the Athletic Bilbao win the Europa League Championship?
End Date: May 21, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.320
NO Price: $0.700
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Athletic Bilbao finish second in La Liga?
End Date: May 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.015
NO Price: $0.998
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0150, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7000

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8828
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.6985
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.989
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxuel
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: la-liga-2nd-place
Polymarket Event ID: 539053