Will a new U.K. election be called before Jan 1, 2026?

Will the next UK election be called by June 30?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8887
Similarity
0.8908

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will a new U.K. election be called before Jan 1, 2026?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.070
NO Price: $0.980
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will the next UK election be called by June 30?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.028
NO Price: $0.979
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8908
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9795
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.4932
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxukelectioncall
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: uk-election-called-by
Polymarket Event ID: 517549