Will a new U.K. election be called before Jan 1, 2026?

Will the next UK election is called by December 31?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9207
Similarity
0.8949

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will a new U.K. election be called before Jan 1, 2026?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.070
NO Price: $0.980
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will the next UK election is called by December 31?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.056
NO Price: $0.969
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8949
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9985
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxukelectioncall
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: uk-election-called-by
Polymarket Event ID: 517550