Will Trump meet with Kim Jong-Un before 2025?

Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
6.38%
Match Score
0.8798
Similarity
0.861

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong-Un before 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.190
NO Price: $0.840
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.100
NO Price: $0.910
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1000, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8400

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.861
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.92
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxwleader
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: will-kim-jong-un-visit-us-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 516939