Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? – Before 2026
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8854
Similarity
0.9152
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? – Before 2026
End Date: Dec 31, 2024 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.870
Polymarket Event
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.880
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9152
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.995
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
oaiagi
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
openai-announces-it-has-achieved-agi-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
517755